Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.295797 3.665393 4.066001 4.533560 5.065617 5.653773 6.355275
2025-04-13 2.619700 3.084395 3.623066 4.297401 5.124203 6.111560 7.389871
2025-04-20 2.298877 2.823540 3.463066 4.307610 5.404918 6.798036 8.725722
2025-04-27 2.102200 2.672257 3.396306 4.395897 5.759780 7.584673 10.260932
2025-05-04 1.949363 2.551265 3.343081 4.479003 6.096717 8.364509 11.869404
2025-05-11 1.813786 2.434550 3.276549 4.525996 6.374584 9.077304 13.459924
2025-05-18 1.696159 2.328432 3.209832 4.558295 6.624043 9.763746 15.088980
2025-05-25 1.548647 2.165892 3.046153 4.427804 6.607674 10.032573 16.071955
2025-06-01 1.442328 2.053277 2.943717 4.376231 6.701908 10.476573 17.394293
2025-06-08 1.354577 1.960630 2.862174 4.346794 6.823703 10.971522 18.863667
2025-06-15 1.319773 1.944496 2.894444 4.498774 7.256220 12.035537 21.517156
2025-06-22 1.250564 1.869814 2.828765 4.482853 7.397969 12.600577 23.299351
2025-06-29 1.179737 1.789406 2.750526 4.443197 7.501404 13.121460 25.105897
2025-07-06 1.077178 1.651870 2.570336 4.214032 7.241577 12.933954 25.425154
2025-07-13 1.029901 1.600978 2.529315 4.224272 7.422788 13.613126 27.702971
2025-07-20 1.000355 1.577108 2.531392 4.310599 7.754874 14.628823 30.901235
2025-07-27 0.972028 1.553198 2.531207 4.391818 8.083962 15.677467 34.365526
2025-08-03 0.939936 1.520667 2.513370 4.437738 8.346001 16.615458 37.736417
2025-08-10 0.907901 1.486156 2.489400 4.469297 8.580706 17.521805 41.200364
2025-08-17 0.854680 1.411387 2.388081 4.341789 8.467856 17.630849 42.584553
2025-08-24 0.816371 1.361004 2.328143 4.291391 8.514865 18.113040 45.075253
2025-08-31 0.783643 1.318872 2.280851 4.262623 8.605990 18.710220 48.009162
2025-09-07 0.776192 1.322197 2.318800 4.411139 9.108368 20.373596 54.431464